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☆ SocGen issues 10-mln-euro digital green bond on a public blockchain
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A logo of French bank Societe Generale is seen on the company's skyscraper at the financial and business district of La Defense near Paris, France September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsPARIS, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale , France's third-biggest listed bank, said on Monday it issued its first so-called digital green bond on a public blockchain, as the lender seeks to build expertise in crypto services. AXA IM made the investment in the digital green bond by acquiring and then spending 5 million euros worth of SocGen's euro-denominated stablecoin, EUR CoinVertible (EURCV). SocGen's bond issuance, made on the Ethereum public blockchain, follows the launch last week by the European Investment Bank (EIB) of its second euro-denominated digital bond on a private blockchain, in partnership with Goldman Sachs Bank Europe, Santander and SocGen. SocGen's digital green bond issuance was made via its crypto unit, Forge.

Persons: Gonzalo Fuentes, Generali, SocGen, Blockchain, Mathieu Rosemain, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Societe Generale, La Defense, REUTERS, Rights, AXA Investment, AXA, Generali Investments, European Investment Bank, Goldman Sachs Bank Europe, SocGen, Thomson Locations: La, Paris, France, Santander

☆ Almost 400,000 deaths in Europe in 2021 attributable to filthy air -EU report
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Pollution from nitrogen dioxide (NO2), most harmful to people with diabetes, resulted in 52,000 deaths and short-term ozone (O3) exposure led to 22,000 deaths. Including a larger set of European countries outside the EU, there were 389,000 pollutant-related deaths in Europe, the EEA said in its report for 2021, released on Friday. "Air pollutant concentrations in 2021 remained well above the levels recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) in its air quality guidelines," the EEA said in the report. "Reducing air pollution to these guideline levels would prevent a significant number of attributable deaths in EU member states." NO2 and short-term O3 exposure had the biggest impact on deaths in Turkey, Italy and Germany, according to the report.

Persons: Flavio Lo Scalzo, Piotr Lipinski, Susan Fenton Organizations: Allianz, REUTERS, Rights, World Health, European Environment Agency, European Union, World Health Organization, WHO, Thomson Locations: Milan, Italy, Rights BRUSSELS, Europe, PM2.5, Poland, Germany, Iceland, Scandinavia, Estonia, Turkey

☆ Europe markets tick higher at open, look set for weekly gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

European markets started Friday in the green after a reversal of momentum in the previous session. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index opened up 0.4% at 8 a.m. London time. It ended Thursday down 0.7%, with oil and gas shares leading falls on the back of weaker crude prices. It marked a change of pace for the index, which is still up 1.8% over the week to Thursday's close. U.K. retail sales figures for October are due Friday, along with a final reading of euro zone inflation for October.

Locations: London

☆ Italy's Banca Generali lifts NII target after Q3 profit beat
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Nov 13 (Reuters) - Italian asset manager Banca Generali (BGN.MI) raised its annual net interest income (NII) forecast on Monday after its third-quarter profit jumped nearly 35%, excluding one-off expenses. The group, controlled by Italy's top insurer Generali (GASI.MI), sees NII of around 300 million euros ($320 million) in 2023, up from a previous guidance of 250-280 million, CEO Gian Maria Mossa said in a post-earnings call with analysts. The bank reported a net profit of 80.1 million euros in the three months through September, beating a company-provided consensus estimate of 78.9 million, driven by a strong increase in NII and higher net recurring fees. Quarterly NII came in at 76.6 million euros, up from 36 million in the same period last year, while recurring fees rose by 2.1% to 114.4 million euros over the same period. The group also said it would set aside 26.6 million euros as non-distributable reserves in lieu of paying the windfall tax on net interest income introduced by the Italian government.

Persons: Gian Maria Mossa, NII, Federica, Milla Nissi Organizations: Banca Generali, Thomson Locations: Italian

Bets on oil prices moving up from here are at their highest level since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, CME options market volatility data shows. Average daily volumes in energy options of the CME exchange overall are the highest since an all-time record in 2018. "The aftermath of the attacks and rising Middle East tensions did not impact oil prices as many investors expected, including ourselves," Unigestion multi-asset portfolio manager Sandrine Perret said. Reuters Graphics3/ DEFENCE STOCKSA gauge of defence stocks compiled by index provider MarketVector (.MVDEF) is 8% higher in the four weeks since the conflict began. It's also near eight-year highs versus the euro and therefore another asset class attracting questions about how it would perform if Middle East tensions are resolved.

Persons: Abdel Hadi Ramahi, Israel, Sandrine Perret, Derek Sammann, Gold, Jeff, Mikhail Zverev, Ron Temple, It's, Francesca Fornasari, Fornasari, Elisa Belgacem, Brent, Naomi Rovnick, Marc Jones, Dhara Ranasinghe, David Evans Organizations: United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, U.S White, Aegon, Reuters, Global, Defence, Lazard Asset Management, Swiss, Insight Investment, Generali Investments, Thomson Locations: Dubai, United Arab, Hamas, Israel, Gaza, Ukraine, Jordan, Egypt, China, Taiwan, Europe

☆ Insurers can underwrite dirty energy with impunity
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Nov 9 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Insurers used to get heat for underwriting fossil fuels. Membership of bodies like the Net-Zero Insurance Alliance (NZIA) was supposed to mean financial groups would cease supporting oil, gas and coal, speeding the pace of decarbonisation. Similarly, five of the Lloyd’s insurance market’s managing agents – RiverStone, Chaucer, RenaissanceRe, Ascot and Aegis – have not implemented any restrictions on fossil fuels. Insurers have even fewer qualms about supporting oil and gas. Governments have made energy security a key priority since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and can reasonably argue that abrupt halts to backing fossil fuels will just mean higher energy prices.

Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Starr don’t, – RiverStone, Chaucer, Insuramore, Pamela Barbaglia, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Zero Insurance, Axa, Everest, Aegis, Reuters Graphics, X, Bayer, SEC, Paramount, Thomson Locations: Zurich, PICC, RenaissanceRe, Ascot, Ukraine

☆ Generali has 500 mln euros left for M&A, could return it to investors, CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

An Assicurazioni Generali SpA's logo is seen on a building of their offices in Saint-Denis, near Paris, France, February 27, 2018. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsMILAN, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Italy's top insurer Assicurazioni Generali (GASI.MI) still has 500 million euros ($533.10 million) left for M&A deals, which will be returned to shareholders if not used for acquisitions, its Chief Executive Philippe Donnet said on Wednesday. In June, the insurer agreed to buy the Spanish unit of U.S. insurer Liberty Mutual for 2.3 billion euros, strengthening its property and casualty segment. I cannot say whether we will make another acquisition before the end of the plan. If we do not use this cash for an acquisition, we will return it to the shareholders", Donnet said.

Persons: Denis, Benoit Tessier, Assicurazioni, Philippe Donnet, Generali, Liberty Seguros, Donnet, Gianluca Semeraro, Gavin Jones Organizations: REUTERS, Liberty Mutual, Holdings, Liberty, Thomson Locations: Saint, Paris, France, Europe, Asia, United States, Connecticut

☆ Bond fund managers head for third year of losses for first time in decades
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Harry Robertson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Reuters GraphicsEuropean funds have effectively returned nothing this year after two down years, Morningstar data shows. Government bond funds have fared even worse and are set for three years of losses in both the U.S. and Europe. Bond yields rise as prices fall, and vice versa. Reuters GraphicsBank of America said there were $5.6 billion of inflows to long-dated Treasury funds last week, the largest on record. ICI data shows that U.S. money market funds have ballooned to $5.6 trillion in assets, from $4.6 trillion in October last year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Stefano Fiorini, Oliver Blackbourn, Janus Henderson, You've, Jonas Goltermann, Max Kettner, Harry Robertson, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters Graphics, Morningstar, U.S, Generali Investments Partners, Reserve, Reuters, Treasury, Citi, ICE, Fed, Capital Economics, Investment Company Institute, Reuters Graphics Bank of America, Reuters Graphics Reuters, ICI, HSBC, Thomson Locations: Europe, U.S

☆ Mediobanca CEO and allies keep grip on bank after shareholder vote
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( Gianluca Semeraro | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Mediobanca CEO Alberto Nagel poses for a photograph in the occasion of a news conference to present Mediobanca's new business plan in Milan, Italy, November 12, 2019. Under Nagel, Mediobanca has moved away from its historic role as a financial holding company and boosted its wealth management and consumer credit operations, also through acquisitions. But his strategy had come in for criticism, initially from the late Leonardo Del Vecchio, whose holding company Delfin has a 19.7% stake in Mediobanca. The Delfin list took 32% of the total capital in the vote. A small group of institutional investors who had filed a third list took the remaining seat.

Persons: Alberto Nagel, Flavio Lo Scalzo, Delfin, Nagel, Pagliaro, Mediobanca, Leonardo Del Vecchio, Renato Pagliaro, Del Vecchio's, Francesco Milleri, Delfin's, Gianluca Semeraro, Keith Weir Organizations: REUTERS, Companies, MILAN, Thomson Locations: Milan, Italy, Mediobanca, Generali

☆ Earnings season has been 'pretty ugly' so far, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings season has been 'pretty ugly' so far, especially in terms of market reaction: strategistVincent Chaigneau of Generali Investments discusses earnings season and the outlook for stock markets and investing.

Persons: Vincent Chaigneau Organizations: Generali Investments

☆ Mediobanca posts record profit ahead of vote on new board
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A logo of Mediobanca is pictured at Mediobanca headquarters in Milan, Italy, November 12, 2019. REUTERS/Flavio Lo Scalzo/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMILAN, Oct 26 (Reuters) - Mediobanca (MDBI.MI) posted its best-ever quarterly profit on Thursday, ahead of a key shareholder vote to name the Italian bank's new board and hand Chief Executive Alberto Nagel a new three-year mandate. Net profit rose 34% year-on-year to 351 million euros ($370 million) in the three months through September, beating a bank-provided analyst consensus of 315 million euros, thanks to contributions from wealth management and insurance. Del Vecchio, who died last year at the age of 87, had criticised Nagel for failing to grow the investment bank's business decisively and hampering expansion at insurer Generali (GASI.MI), in which Mediobanca is the main shareholder. ($1 = 0.9489 euros)Reporting by Gianluca Semeraro; editing by Alvise Armellini and Valentina ZaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Flavio Lo Scalzo, Alberto Nagel, Revenues, Mediobanca, Delfin, Leonardo Del Vecchio, Del Vecchio, Nagel, Gianluca Semeraro, Alvise Armellini, Valentina Za Organizations: REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Milan, Italy, Italian, Del

European flags are seen in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) building, in Frankfurt, Germany, July 21, 2022. Price pressures are easing and the economy is slowing to a point that a recession may already be underway, making any further rate hikes increasingly unlikely. Meeting in Athens for the first time in over a decade, the Governing Council is expected to have an easy time deciding on rates. Others argue that growth prospects are deteriorating so quickly that the ECB would be better served with a "neutral" guidance, emphasizing data dependency. This suggests that any change in the scheme will be gradual, so the ECB can protect Italy as long as possible.

Persons: Wolfgang Rattay, Martin Wolburg, Wolburg, Frederik Ducrozet, reinvestments, Balazs Koranyi, Emelia Sithole Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, ECB, Generali Investments, Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, FRANKFURT, Athens, Italy

☆ Two U.S. funds to vote Mediobanca outgoing board's slate for board renewal
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MILAN, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. funds CalSTRS and New York City Comptroller said on Thursday they would vote in favour of the outgoing board's slate of nominees for the new Mediobanca board at the bank's annual meeting this month. Mediobanca's outgoing board has proposed 15 members, including a new term for current CEO Alberto Nagel and Chairman Renato Pagliaro ahead of the Oct. 28 meeting. The two funds did not disclose their stakes in Mediobanca. Proxy adviser Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), Glass Lewis and Pensions & Investment Research Consultants (PIRC) said last week they were recommending Mediobanca investors vote in favour of the outgoing board's slate of nominees. Reporting by Gianluca Semeraro editing by Keith WeirOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Alberto Nagel, Renato Pagliaro, Delfin, Leonardo Del Vecchio, Nagel, Del Vecchio, Glass Lewis, Gianluca Semeraro, Keith Weir Organizations: MILAN, New York, Services, Pensions & Investment Research Consultants, Thomson Locations: U.S, New, Mediobanca, Italian

☆ Bargain hunters dig in to 'cheap' European banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Naomi Rovnick | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Just before earnings season kicks off, European bank shares are sporting a dividend yield of almost 8%, making them cheaper on this basis than during the 2008 global financial crisis. European banks, which struggled during 2014 to 2022 as the ECB kept rates below zero, have had a major boost from hiking their loan costs in line with central bank rates. Analyst forecasts collated by European asset manager Amundi show European banks are expected to grow adjusted earnings per share by 25% this year, followed by a 6% gain in 2024. Generali's Morganti said he has moved his position on European banks from negative to neutral and was likely to add more. He did not forecast quick gains for European banks ahead, however.

Persons: Guy de Blonay, Sebastiano Pirro, Roger Lee, Amundi, LSEG, Michele Morganti, Italy's Unicredit, Banks, Pirro, Generali's Morganti, Naomi Rovnick, Joice Alves, Dhara Ranasinghe, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Reuters Graphics Banks, Jupiter Asset Management, Algebris Investments, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Bank, Generali Investments, Monetary Fund, Thomson

☆ Proxy adviser Glass Lewis backs Mediobanca outgoing board's slate for board renewal
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MILAN, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Proxy adviser Glass Lewis said on Friday it was recommending that investors in Italian bank Mediobanca (MDBI.MI) vote in favour of the outgoing board's slate of nominees for the new board. The board is elected for a three-year term, and the current one expires on Oct. 28, when Mediobanca shareholders will vote on its renewal, including the chief executive. Mediobanca's outgoing board has proposed 15 members, including a new term for current CEO Alberto Nagel and Chairman Renato Pagliaro. On Wednesday, proxy adviser Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) said it was recommending that Mediobanca investors vote in favour of the outgoing board's slate of nominees. Reporting by Gianluca Semeraro; editing by Gavin Jones and Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Glass Lewis, Alberto Nagel, Renato Pagliaro, Delfin, Leonardo Del Vecchio, Nagel, Del Vecchio, Gianluca Semeraro, Gavin Jones, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: MILAN, Services, Thomson Locations: Italian

☆ Proxy adviser ISS backs Mediobanca's outgoing board slate for board renewal
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MILAN, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Proxy adviser Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) said on Wednesday it was recommending that Mediobanca (MDBI.MI) investors vote in favour of the outgoing board's slate of nominees for the Italian bank's new board. The bank's board is elected for a three-year term and the current term expires on Oct. 28, when Mediobanca shareholders will vote on the renewal of the board, including the chief executive. Mediobanca's outgoing board has proposed 15 members for the full board, including a new term for current CEO Alberto Nagel and Chairman Renato Pagliaro. Mediobanca's outgoing board's slate of nominees "is adequately positioned to represent the long-term interests of institutional investors and carry out an effective oversight of the management's action", ISS said in a report. The current board has the support of a group of Italian investors, representing a combined 10.9% stake.

Persons: Alberto Nagel, Renato Pagliaro, Delfin, Leonardo Del Vecchio, Nagel, Del Vecchio, Francesco Gaetano Caltagirone, Gianluca Semeraro, Leslie Adler Organizations: MILAN, Services, Thomson Locations: Italian

☆ At Allianz, CEO stays but CFO goes
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

The logo of Allianz is seen on a building in Paris, France, April 30, 2020. Baete, whose contract was extended to 2028, said: "I thank the Supervisory Board for their confidence and support." Chief Financial Officer Giulio Terzariol is leaving to head the insurance division at Generali, the Italian company announced on Monday. Allianz has appointed Claire-Marie Coste-Lepoutre to succeed him as finance chief. Coste-Lepoutre is a French national who has been with Allianz since 2011, with previous stints at Swiss Re, SCOR and McKinsey.

Persons: Charles Platiau, Oliver Baete, Baete, Giulio Terzariol, Claire, Marie Coste, Lepoutre, Tom Sims, Alexander Huebner, Miranda Murray Organizations: Allianz, REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Board, Monday, Swiss, SCOR, McKinsey, Thomson Locations: Paris, France, U.S, Generali, Italian, French

☆ Stagflation is 'the big bogeyman out there' — and many increasingly fear its return
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Oil prices surging to the brink of $100 per barrel and the specter of higher for longer inflation have renewed concern about stagflation risks, however. Kashkari reaffirmed this message when speaking to CNBC on Wednesday, saying that he was not sure if interest rates have been raised enough to successfully fight price growth. Market participants are worried that surging oil prices could keep inflation higher for longer, amplifying the risk of stagflation. "The price pressure reflects a shortage of supply, after OPEC+ cut production targets, under the leadership of Saudi Arabia and Russia. This must be seen in the context of a moving geopolitical environment, with Saudi Arabia recently joining the BRICS group," they added.

Persons: Mel Lagomasino, CNBC's, Lagomasino, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, Stagflation, –, South Africa — Organizations: WE, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Getty, Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Generali Investments, United Locations: Minneapolis, Washington ,, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, stagflation, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Argentina, Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia, United Arab Emirates

Cinven this month signed an accord with GIC, Singapore's sovereign fund, and another two investors to purchase from them 140 million euros of Tier2 Eurovita bonds, the source added. Cinven, which acquired Eurovita in 2017, also launched a tender offer to buy back another 20 million euros of bonds from investors including Italian financial institutions, so that only around 9 million remain outstanding, the source said. Italian insurance authorities placed Eurovita under special administration this year, the first time they have taken such a step, after rising rates blew a hole in the life insurer's cash reserves. Instead, Cinven was asked to carry out the debt buyback and cancel the bonds to support a solvent liquidation, one of the people added. Like other life insurers, especially those relying on banks to sell products, Eurovita was hit by early redemptions once rates started rising and savers sought better returns.

Persons: Matthew Childs, Cinven, Eurovita, Assicurazioni, Valentina Za, Emilio Parodi, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, GIC, Germany's Allianz, Allianz, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Cinven

☆ Group of Italian investors in Mediobanca backs new term for CEO Nagel
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MILAN, Sept 25 (Reuters) - A group of Italian investors with a combined 10.9% stake in Mediobanca (MDBI.MI) will vote to give Chief Executive Alberto Nagel a new term at a shareholders' meeting on Oct. 28, one of the group's members said on Monday. The bank's board is elected for a three-year term and the current term expires on Oct. 28 when Mediobanca shareholders will vote on renewing the board, including the CEO. The group of investors, who in 2018 signed a consultation agreement on the most important issues regarding the bank, met on Monday. Another member of the group, who did not wish to be identified, said all members of the group would vote to keep Nagel as CEO. Nagel has so far enjoyed the support of institutional investors who collectively account for 45% of the bank's capital.

Persons: Alberto Nagel, Nagel, Del, Delfin, Francesco Gaetano Caltagirone, Mediobanca's, Renato Pagliaro, Angelo Caso, Pagliaro, Gianluca Semeraro, Susan Fenton Organizations: Banca Mediolanum, Delfin, Thomson Locations: Mediobanca

☆ Larger Italian banks still seen paying one-off tax despite opt-out offer
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Valentina Za | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The government sparked a market rout last month with the surprise announcement of a 40% tax on the profits banks are reaping from rising interest rates. The option would benefit banks that hold a higher proportion of Italian government bonds among their assets relative to loans. Banca Akros and broker Equita also expect most banks to pay the tax. Equita also said paying the levy would allow lenders to maintain more flexibility over their remuneration policy. Switching the tax basis to risk-weighted assets helps banks which have a lower 'risk density', meaning the average risk weight per unit of exposure.

Persons: Jennifer Lorenzini, Equita, Akros, Siena, Valentina Za, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Generale, Banca Akros, ICCREA, Bank, Banca Generali, Thomson Locations: Monte dei, Siena, Italy, Italy's

☆ For traders, September's ECB move is far from clear cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File PhotoData on Thursday showed euro zone inflation held at 5.3% in August rather than dropping. Overall money supply in the bloc contracted in July for the first time since 2010, demonstrating the extent to which ECB policy has tightened financial conditions. And even if investors are divided on September’s decision, the consensus is that the ECB will be done raising rates soon. Longer-term, markets expect the ECB to start cutting rates by the second quarter of 2024. (This story has been corrected to clarify that Aviva favours a small overweight in European bonds, not longer-dated euro zone bonds, in paragraph 19)

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Kai Pfaffenbach, Piet Christiansen, ’ indecisiveness, ” Christiansen, Isabel Schnabel, Robert Holzmann, ”, Mauro Valle, Valle, Edward Hutchings, Frederik Ducrozet, ” Aviva’s Hutchings, ” Pictet’s Ducrozet Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Central Bank, ECB, REUTERS, Danske Bank, Generali Investments, Treasury, Aviva Investors, Pictet Wealth Management, Aviva Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Austrian

☆ Analysis-For traders, September's ECB move is far from clear cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File PhotoData on Thursday showed euro zone inflation held at 5.3% in August rather than dropping. Another inflation hawk, Austrian central bank chief Robert Holzmann, said the ECB could deliver “another hike or two”. Overall money supply in the bloc contracted in July for the first time since 2010, demonstrating the extent to which ECB policy has tightened financial conditions. And even if investors are divided on September’s decision, the consensus is that the ECB will be done raising rates soon. Longer-term, markets expect the ECB to start cutting rates by the second quarter of 2024.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Kai Pfaffenbach, Piet Christiansen, ’ indecisiveness, ” Christiansen, Isabel Schnabel, Robert Holzmann, ”, Mauro Valle, Valle, Edward Hutchings, Frederik Ducrozet, Aviva’s Hutchinson, ” Pictet’s Ducrozet Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Central Bank, ECB, REUTERS, Danske Bank, Generali Investments, Treasury, Aviva Investors, Pictet Wealth Management Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Austrian

☆ Europe's weaker economy limits fallout of US bond rout
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Last week, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields touched their highest relative to Germany's since December. For rate-sensitive short-dated German bond yields yields are even down 17 bps in August as weak data has raised expectations of a European Central Bank rate hike pause in September. SPILLOVERBofA, Goldman Sachs and Barclays expect Treasury yields to end the year slightly below current levels. Barclays's Khanna estimates German bond yields would have been 50-60 bps lower had they only been driven by domestic factors. The spillover from higher Treasury yields is more challenging elsewhere.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mauro Valle, Valle, Salman Ahmed, Rohan Khanna, Fitch, Mondher, SPILLOVER BofA, Goldman Sachs, Jackson, Barclays's Khanna, Frederik Ducrozet, Ataru Okumura, Yoruk, Chiara Elisei, Junko Fujita, Kevin Buckland, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: REUTERS, Generali Investment Partners, European Central Bank, Fidelity International, U.S, Fitch, AAA, Vontel Asset Management, Barclays, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ECB, Pictet Wealth Management, of Japan, Nikko Securities, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, Europe, Germany, Britain, Germany's, It's, Italy, France, Japan, Amsterdam, London, Tokyo

World shares (.MIWD00000PUS) were up 0.3% in European trading. European stocks, led by technology shares and China-exposed automakers, also rose. But the uncomfortable message from Jackson Hole may mean a protracted higher inflation than market bulls might have hoped, said the note. Figures on European Union inflation this week may also be instrumental in whether the European Central Bank (ECB) decides to hike next month. Oil prices drew some support from the storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico and China support.

Persons: Issei Kato, Florian Ielpo, Jerome Powell, Lombard, Ielpo, Jackson, Christine Lagarde, Ben Broadbent, Kazuo Ueda, Brent, Nell Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper, Stephen Coates, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Nikkei, U.S, REUTERS, Companies, payrolls, China PMI, China, Nasdaq, FTSE, China Evergrande, HK, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Shanghai, Lombard, Traders, Federal, Fed, JPMorgan, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, Beijing, Generali, Hollywood, Friday's, Gulf of Mexico

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